Season Prediction Competition!

[bigreddog]

9th

71 points

64 goals

6th Place

73 points

58 Goals

6th

75 points

73 goals

[morecambe mick]

6th Place

73 points

58 Goals

8th place

67 points

56 goals

[eggchaser]

10th place

66 points

56 goals scored

[marky]

10th place

66 points

56 goals scored

8th

69 pts

61 gls

[DeeBee]

10th place

66 points

56 goals scored

8th

69 pts

61 gls

5th
75 pnts
68 goals

[Martin]

10th Place

67 Points

59 Goals

[Keith]

10th place

66 points

56 goals scored

10th Place

67 Points

59 Goals

Still nothing from Ned? Not up to the challenge or too afraid to let us know what he really thinks?

[marky No.1]

As we have now kicked off I presume any further entries are invalid, or are we giving Ned & Co. a weeks grace?

Here is the current table, I think

NAME......................POINTS..............GOALS
1. Mazatec........................90....................70
2................................................................
3. Morecambe's Robbo.........76.....................50
4. Keith.............................77....................59
5. Deebee..........................75....................68
....Bigdavethebass...............74....................65
....Parkyboy........................70....................71
6. Bigreddog........................75...................73
....Ockers...........................74....................65
....Crooky MFC.....................74...................55
....I Love MFC......................73...................58
7. Harry..............................79...................69
....Little Shrimp....................76...................56
....Morecamber....................72....................55
....Thegentlegiant.................71...................65
....Curly..............................67...................55
8. Marky.............................69....................61
....Marky No.1.....................69....................58
....Morecambe Mick..............67....................56
9. Dazzer..........................71....................64
....Heysham MFC.................65....................72
10.Outsider........................67....................63
....Martin..........................67....................59
....Eggchaser.....................66....................56
.....Number 1......................65....................52
11.Mighty Red....................53.....................63

Nice to see we are all expecting a top half finish

[Keith]

There have been statistical analysis experiments done that demonstrate the average guesses from a crowd are remarkably accurate. The example I saw on TV had people in a market guessing the weight of a cake. Although no one guessed the weight correctly, the average of all guesses was almost spot on and was actually closer than any guesses.

If that holds true for our entries, we will finish in 7.29th position (7th or 8th then). Obviously this isn't accurate because we still haven't had Ned's relegation prediction.

Keep it open until next Saturday morning and for fairness, if anyone wants to change their entry, they can do so until then too.

[Mark S]

If what you are saying is true then can everyone please predict first place as this will have the power to change the future and get us promoted.

Get your watch out Keith!

I think 7th place with 77 points and 63 goals.

[Vinny]

If what you are saying is true then can everyone please predict first place as this will have the power to change the future and get us promoted.

I think 7th place with 77 points and 63 goals.

7th place

70 points

62 goals

[Keith]

I think 7th place with 77 points and 63 goals.

A review of The Wisdom of Crowds.

While our culture generally trusts experts and distrusts the wisdom of the masses, New Yorker business columnist Surowiecki argues that "under the right circumstances, groups are remarkably intelligent, and are often smarter than the smartest people in them." To support this almost counterintuitive proposition, Surowiecki explores problems involving cognition (we're all trying to identify a ...
More correct answer), coordination (we need to synchronize our individual activities with others) and cooperation (we have to act together despite our self-interest). His rubric, then, covers a range of problems, including driving in traffic, competing on TV game shows, maximizing stock market performance, voting for political candidates, navigating busy sidewalks, tracking SARS and designing Internet search engines like Google. If four basic conditions are met, a crowd's "collective intelligence" will produce better outcomes than a small group of experts, Surowiecki says, even if members of the crowd don't know all the facts or choose, individually, to act irrationally. "Wise crowds" need (1) diversity of opinion; (2) independence of members from one another; (3) decentralization; and (4) a good method for aggregating opinions. The diversity brings in different information; independence keeps people from being swayed by a single opinion leader; people's errors balance each other out; and including all opinions guarantees that the results are "smarter" than if a single expert had been in charge. Surowiecki's style is pleasantly informal, a tactical disguise for what might otherwise be rather dense material. He offers a great introduction to applied behavioral economics and game theory. Agent, Chris Calhoun. (On sale May 18) Forecast: While armchair social scientists (e.g., readers of The Tipping Point) will find this book interesting, college economics, math, statistics and finance students could really profit from spending time with Surowiecki. National author promos and print ads will attract buyers.

[Star08]

If what you are saying is true then can everyone please predict first place as this will have the power to change the future and get us promoted.

Get your watch out Keith!

I think 7th place with 77 points and 63 goals.

5th place
78 points
65 goals

[Vinny]

If what you are saying is true then can everyone please predict first place as this will have the power to change the future and get us promoted.

I think 7th place with 77 points and 63 goals.

7th place

70 points

62 goals

That's Keith and Star08 who didn't quote my post I can see it I'll do it myself

[Mighty Red]

Mighty Red wrote:

11th place, 53 points, 63 goals

Current positions:
1 Notts County
2 Bournemouth
3 Aldershot
4 Shrewsbury
5 Torquay
6 Cheltenham
7 Dag & Red
8 Lincoln City
9 Rotherham
10 Hereford
11 Morecambe

Have I won?

[Keith]

Still a couple of days to get predictions in.

[Blackburn shrimp]

5th
72 points
59 goals
Please

[Martin]

Mighty Red wrote:

11th place, 53 points, 63 goals

Current positions:
1 Notts County
2 Bournemouth
3 Aldershot
4 Shrewsbury
5 Torquay
6 Cheltenham
7 Dag & Red
8 Lincoln City
9 Rotherham
10 Hereford
11 Morecambe

Have I won?

A good effort, but as you're 52 points and 61 goals out then it's hardly close!

[Posh]

7th
77 points
77 goals

[comingthrough]

7th
77 points
77 goals

7th
78 points

65 goals.

[Dazzer]

Four-four-two magazine predicts us finishing 7th

[CASS]

7th .....71p.......61g
Based on asking the catering manager to pick the numbers 1/10..65/75...55/65.

[philbigmfcfan]

5th
74pts
59goals

[marky No.1]

So here it is:
NAME......................POINTS..............GOALS
1. Mazatec........................90....................70
2................................................................
3. Morecambe's Robbo.........76.....................50
4. Keith.............................77....................59
5..Star 08..........................78....................65
....Deebee..........................75....................68
....Bigdavethebass...............74....................65
....Philbigmfcfan...................74....................59
....Blackburn Shrimp.............72....................59
....Parkyboy........................70....................71
6. Bigreddog........................75...................73
....Ockers...........................74....................65
....Crooky MFC.....................74...................55
....I Love MFC......................73...................58
7. Harry..............................79...................69
....Comingthrough.................78...................65
....Posh...............................77...................77
....Mark S............................77...................63
....Little Shrimp....................76...................56
....Morecamber....................72....................55
....Thegentlegiant.................71...................65
....Cass...............................71...................61
....Vinny..............................70...................62
....Curly..............................67...................55
8. Marky.............................69....................61
....Marky No.1.....................69....................58
....Morecambe Mick..............67....................56
9. Dazzer..........................71....................64
....Heysham MFC.................65....................72
10.Outsider........................67....................63
....Martin..........................67....................59
....Eggchaser.....................66....................56
.....Number 1......................65....................52
11.Mighty Red....................53.....................63

A lot fancy seven, especially Posh!

[Weetabix Kid]

Sneak me in for 12th on 60 points then fella