I didn't think we'd be looking over our shoulder before the end of October, but as we are...
If the same rate of picking up points is continued for the rest of the season, the bottom six will look like this;
Barnet__________ 39 points
Chester_________ 35 points
Morecambe_____ 31 points
Bournemouth___ 29 points
Luton__________ 27 points
Grimsby________ 21 points
Bearing in mind, both Luton & Bournemouth will have a substantially better goal difference to any of the other teams in the relegation battle, we need to remain ahead on points. After nearly a third of the season gone, our head start to keep us in Division 2 may result in us being four points away from relegation. Last game of the season, at home to Bournemouth could be a decider as to who plays Blue Square football next season.
By the end of November we will have played;
Accrington (struggling for form, 2 wins, 1 draw, 7 defeats in last ten league matches)
Aldershot (started well but struggling now, with 4 defeats & 2 draws in last six games)
Chester (lost 4, drawn 3 in last seven league games. Not won since they beat Grimsby)
Exeter (the only decent team we're coming up against next month, 5 wins & 2 draws in last seven)
B'mouth (3 wins & 3 defeats in last six league games)
If we begin to beat fellow strugglers (like Port Vale were) then we can breath a little easier.
If we can double our point tally over the next five games, then we can breath a little easier.
Anything less than seven points from those matches will be a complete and utter disaster.