Route to survival

[Redalert1970]

We have only won 7 from 32 so to win 6 from last 14 is going to be very very tough

Possible but going to be tight

Just booked hotel and train for Gillingham and Mk Dons away

[marky No.1]

We have only won 7 from 32 so to win 6 from last 14 is going to be very very tough

I agree with that John, but say we get 4 wins and 4 draws it would only leave us with 42 points going into the Harrogate game, that just wouldn't be enough unless Tranmere completely capitulate

[shrimpsontoast]

20 losses in 32 games, spectacular!

[black morse]

20 losses in 32 games, spectacular!

Our form over last 6 games puts us in 16th place I'll gladly settle for that

[Wild Bill]

Well, looking for some straws to clutch to and the run ins for tranmere, Carlisle and us:

Morecambe
Six home games and four away
None are top three
Two playoffs (or around)
One bottom three (Carlisle)

Tranmere
Four home games and six away
Two top three teams
One playoffs
None in the bottom three

Carlisle
Six home games and five away
One top three team
One playoffs
One bottom three (us)

So, we probably need to win five out of ten and possibly a draw or two. Big ask but seven teams are likely to have nothing to play for. We just have to go for it from now.

Maybe Accrington can also get dragged in too?

[black morse]

Well, looking for some straws to clutch to and the run ins for tranmere, Carlisle and us:

Morecambe
Six home games and four away
None are top three
Two playoffs (or around)
One bottom three (Carlisle)

Tranmere
Four home games and six away
Two top three teams
One playoffs
None in the bottom three

Carlisle
Six home games and five away
One top three team
One playoffs
One bottom three (us)

So, we probably need to win five out of ten and possibly a draw or two. Big ask but seven teams are likely to have nothing to play for. We just have to go for it from now.

Maybe Accrington can also get dragged in too?

If they win tonight it will make it unlikely.

[Redalert1970]

Accy 2 nil up after 15 mins

Make that 4 nil up after 51 mins

Currently 10 points clear of bottom 2 will be enough

Looking like 2 from bottom 3 will be going down

[marky No.1]

Accy 2 nil up after 15 mins

Make that 3 nil up after 27 mins

Currently 10 points clear of bottom 2 will be enough

Looking like 2 from bottom 3 will be going down

3 nil up , imagine that

[Billy bodger]

definitely 2 from 3

[Wild Bill]

Oh, this is going to be tight. I just hope we have a chance with the last three games.

[black morse]

Accy 2 nil up after 15 mins

Make that 3 nil up after 27 mins

Currently 10 points clear of bottom 2 will be enough

Looking like 2 from bottom 3 will be going down

3 nil up , imagine that

Newport are just lulling them into a false sense of security and Accy are walking straight into the trap.

[Redalert1970]

Accy 4 Newport 0 now after 51 mins

[Angler1]

I think you can discount Accrington for the drop. It's basically 2 from 3.

[Billy bodger]

Big big derby game on Sat, we have to turn up, our new injuries are not going to help us but we can only worry about ourselves and who plays on the day, it squeaky, squeaky time and a time to stand up and perform.
We need points before April, big time, it’s pivotal to the route to survival.

[Redalert1970]

Don't think we can let the gap more than it is now

[Redalert1970]

Its been a very average league 2 this season in my humble opinion

Just a shame we don't have a decent owner cos I think we could have been further up the league

[Redalert1970]

Accy 5 Newport 0 after 75 mins

[sandgrown]

we have 10 games left to survive, the one thing we must do now and haven't done all season is

SHOOT SHOOT SHOOT especially in the box

[Wild Bill]

Derek always builds from defence and keeps things solid. Right now though we are better off going at teams and losing by a few goals than losing games 0-1. It's wins that will keep up us up, so we can lose 3-4 of the ten and still stay up if we muster five or six victories from the remaining games.

I believe we have goals in the squad. However, has Derek worked out his best 11 and formation since Angol came back and Dallas and Garner came in? I am not so sure.

[Wild Bill]

So, after today, do we start to hope? A very big ask still but maybe four wins and a draw might give us a chance. Will need to win on Tuesday, against Carlisle and Harrogate though. Another win from one of the tougher away fixtures too.

Just need accy, tranmere or Harrogate to take their foot off the gas. UTS

[vvm]

Just when I think I'm out, they drag me back in.

https://www.reddit.com/r/LeagueTwo/comm ... _based_on/

This info is from 2 weeks ago but supposedly Tranmere have the 3rd toughest run in and Harrogate the 6th hardest. Whilst we have the 3rd easiest.

I think we should start looking to catch Harrogate as our most likely method of survival. 6 games to make up 6 points on them, leading to a winner takes all final day.

There's no point going too in depth on it though, we need to win on Tuesday for any of this to matter.

[marky No.1]

I think we need 47 points going into the final game against Harrogate which is 21 points from 13 games equates to 6 wins, 3 draws , 4 losses.
A tough ask, but can't see a way we can be safe before Harrogate, just hope we have a chance on the last day while relying on others to fail no doubt

14 points from 6 games, eeeeeek

[vvm]

Spent a good portion of this morning convincing myself it's possible.

Cheltenham, Bromley, Salford and Chesterfield are or may be on the beach by the time we play them. They're all beatable.

Carlisle and Harrogate are right down there so also winnable games.

Grimsby is the only game where I expect to get nothing.

[Billy bodger]

Well I’m way off in my predictions by at least 4 points . With Tranmere and Harrogate consistently picking up points. The 44 point safety mark is now looking like 46-49.
Unfortunately that means we have to rely on both or one of them going on a bad run of results. It also means we MUST go on a run of wins in our last 7 games and 5 wins will make us 48.

With Harrogate playing Tranmere tomorrow night what would be the best result for us?

With us playing Harrogate at home the last game of the season I think a Tranmere win would be the best result for us.

If we can play Harrogate no more than 2 points behind it’s all to play for in the last game of the season.

It’s a big mighty ask and tomorrow night will play a big part in how it will all develop.


We have just got to WIN. COYS

[Keith]

If we can play Harrogate no more than 2 points behind it’s all to play for in the last game of the season.

I think we can be three points behind, and still only need a 1-0 win. Their goal difference is four better than us, but we've scored more than them. Barring a big win/defeat for either of us, if we close the gap to three points behind, then the goal difference will be close to or actually, zero.

If Tranmere & us win tomorrow, we're six points behind, and at worst, they are two goals better GD.

Still a lot to do, but...